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PostPosted: 23 Dec 2004, 11:23 
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LOL Sniper, I was wondering when you would finally crack under the strain of Big Vette. LOL


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PostPosted: 23 Dec 2004, 12:38 
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<BLOCKQUOTE id=quote><font size=1 face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" id=quote>quote:<hr height=1 noshade id=quote>
Vette didnt take his temporary ban too well, to say the least.

LOL...he said mean things to l'il ole me in an email.

<b>"You got me all wrong Mudd...i don't like anyone.</b><img src=newicons/saevil.gif border=0 align=middle>"
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<hr height=1 noshade id=quote></BLOCKQUOTE id=quote></font id=quote><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" size=2 id=quote>F*** 'em if he can't take a joke....

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PostPosted: 23 Dec 2004, 14:18 
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<BLOCKQUOTE id=quote><font size=1 face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" id=quote>quote:<hr height=1 noshade id=quote>
Mudd now that vett is done. Can you tell me if programs like the f-22 have an "actucary table" if you will to tell if the program is having more or less problems than one would expect based on previous development programs. If so is this used to benchmark where a program should be at a cert point in the develment and deployment cycle. Or are these programs breaking so much new ground that they basically are on their own. I would imagin the Osprey would be a program where there is little historical data measure the program against, but wouldn't the f-22 be easy to compare with previous fighter development programs. With this comparison would the government have a number of planes in their mind that they may loose when bringing this technology into routine deployment.


<hr height=1 noshade id=quote></BLOCKQUOTE id=quote></font id=quote><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" size=2 id=quote>

Matt, the best way for me to answer your question is not in comparison of one program to another. I think after you read my thoughts you will understand.

If we look at Cost basis, onthe serfucae the F22 is an expensive commodity when say compared to the Superbug and the X35. What the public does not attribute is that these Dollars all come from the Same Location. "Congress" I assure you that Congress is well in the know of the needs and value of what they are paying for. they also know, and unfortunately not enough is said publicly about "Technology transfer"

What "Technology Transfer" is: It is simply learning and applying technology developed on one product and trasnfering it to others. This saves cost, and enhances the product. In the past I had mentioned about this briefly All the technology that has been developed for the F22 has been integrated into many forms in other Military equipment.

Next you look at the Company that is Prime Developer of the F22 "Lochead martin" This company is very diverse and is in every type of defense market available to them. From simple airframe design/manufacturer, to Sea based, land based and space based systems. This is allot of matureing technology in this company, and as things are developed , that tecnical know how is applied to future applications as well as current.

So when i look at the F22,I see a 60 Million Dollar plane, and i see f22 technology saving a great deal of defense dollars for congress, becaue of the accelerated completion and fielding of products, like the Satelites, Superbug, x-35, UAVS, Mission avionics, Collegiate endeavors. The list is endless.

Each DOD service has a specified budget for maintaining a fleet and fleet replacement, the Airforce has their money in a narrow focus, as compared to per say the Army and the Navy that is quite robust and diverse in their needs. So visibility wise, many folks see an expensive toy, But congress sees the financial and technological advantage a project of its scope provides.

Trust me. the F22 is very cheap if you look at the big picture.

Even the A10 is recieving F22 developed technology.

"The power to Destroy the planet, is insignifigant to the power of the Air Force----Mudd Vader


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PostPosted: 23 Dec 2004, 15:13 
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i have no problem with cost just wanted to know if going into a program do you guys plan the number of aircraft based an imaginary number of how many aircraft you can loose in testing and during act use while maintaining a credible force structure. For instance when they built only 16 b-2 not much was left for routine accidental losses in training or combat. You loose 4-5 of those planes over a 20 year time frame you have little to no combat power left to influence the battle field. As it stands one could argue producing so few b-2 has really hampered our capabilities already.


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PostPosted: 23 Dec 2004, 15:53 
Hmmm, how odd that no one shed a tear for poor old Vette.

WHAT A SHOCK. <img src=icon_smile_big.gif border=0 align=middle>

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PostPosted: 23 Dec 2004, 16:06 
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<BLOCKQUOTE id=quote><font size=1 face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" id=quote>quote:<hr height=1 noshade id=quote> Hmmm, how odd that no one shed a tear for poor old Vette. <hr height=1 noshade id=quote></BLOCKQUOTE id=quote></font id=quote><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" size=2 id=quote>

Actually, I thought I did. I then realized it was just an eyelash in my eye...

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PostPosted: 23 Dec 2004, 18:43 
LOL. ;)

<b>"You got me all wrong Mudd...i don't like anyone.</b><img src=newicons/saevil.gif border=0 align=middle>"
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PostPosted: 23 Dec 2004, 21:07 
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Matt the short answer.

Airforce Approches Congress fr a Need. For example they wish to replace 500 F15c's With a New Fighter. They then layout their case to Congress. Congress gives a yes or No for the Airforce to approach Our Defense industry for a canidate. From this Congress and the Airforce propose the design Needs. Industry then is challenged to Bid a Proposal and a Evaluation Product. Congress or the Airforce, may or may not fund this activity for industry. Usually they foot the Bill.

During this design and build process they are evaluated. Then Airforce and Congress begin the politics of the Bid Winner, and evaluate the cost of the contenders, the technology presented and what is needed or not needed to change in the critic. eventually a winner is named and from that point The prime Contractor now incorporates their subsidiaries that are apart of the design. More politics ensue and the DTOE phase begins where the technology is matured farther. It will then come upon a time that Congress again under a program review, Decides what it is they can pay and the Airforce and Congress begin their Wheel and Deal. Around this Time Congress makes a overall Plan funding commitment milestone at which time they meat Biannually or as requested by Congress, industry, Customer (airforce), allong the way this keeps getting planned out Monies exchanged or held.

The short answer has to do more of what the Congress is willing to pay based off their Defense allotment, and what the service can balance in their needs, Industry is playing their role in meeting the commitment while making a profit. This has allot to do with the number of aircraft delivered.

The level of technology in the raptor required a great deal of oversight and budgetary review during its development period.

The raptor now is almost to the point of Full clearance production run. The full number produced is an unknown, Historicly once production begins that safety margin in funding typically never gets exceeded, and much of the costs are saved.

The Navy has Programs that make the Raptor look like a march of dimes funded project.

It is only cheaper to make many products when you are in a production phase. Industrys manufacture process is continually improved.

Right now it is an Unknown.

It is not fair to compare the B2 differnt era, differnt circumstances the needs of the country and the current presidential administration in office modify what will happen.

look at the Commanche. If 9/11 never happaned it would still be in production. Simple example of priority change.

"The power to Destroy the planet, is insignifigant to the power of the Air Force----Mudd Vader

Edited by - mrmudd on Dec 23 2004 8:11 PM


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PostPosted: 23 Dec 2004, 22:03 
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"The Navy has Programs that make the Raptor look like a march of dimes funded project."

Im curious. Such as?


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PostPosted: 23 Dec 2004, 22:30 
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See what happens when I go to Disneyland? I come back and snipe has been sharpshooting again!

"face it....perhaps your only purpose in life is to serve as a warning to others!"


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PostPosted: 23 Dec 2004, 22:45 
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<BLOCKQUOTE id=quote><font size=1 face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" id=quote>quote:<hr height=1 noshade id=quote>
"The Navy has Programs that make the Raptor look like a march of dimes funded project."

Im curious. Such as?


<hr height=1 noshade id=quote></BLOCKQUOTE id=quote></font id=quote><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" size=2 id=quote>

Really want to know?

"The power to Destroy the planet, is insignifigant to the power of the Air Force----Mudd Vader


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PostPosted: 24 Dec 2004, 10:47 
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<BLOCKQUOTE id=quote><font size=1 face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" id=quote>quote:<hr height=1 noshade id=quote>"The Navy has Programs that make the Raptor look like a march of dimes funded project."

Im curious. Such as?

<hr height=1 noshade id=quote></BLOCKQUOTE id=quote></font id=quote><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" size=2 id=quote>

Lets start with the billions poured into the research & developement of the A-12 Avenger II. The Navy nearly bankrupted itself out of the aviation buisness with that one.

How about squandering the capital spent on the F-14 program by failing to optimize the growth potential of the aircraft....

The USN bet the farm on the F-18E/F...I hope the gamble pays off.

By the way...

Happy Holidays Everyone!



Edited by - chadrewsky on Dec 24 2004 09:53 AM


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PostPosted: 24 Dec 2004, 11:25 
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Mr Mudd:

"Really want to know?"

Certainly. Or are they a big secret?

It would be nice to see a side by side comparison.

I know I stay relatively well informed and Ive read nothing even coming close to your contention Mr Mudd. But you could be right. Id just like to see some documentation if thats possible.

Or is this just a another sour grapes contention and/or a case of comparing apples to oranges and hoping no one notices?

Chad your response doesnt even merit this much of a comment.

As Mr Mudds statement was "has" not "had" and even then you dont know what your talking about.

Everybody is always quick to state their opinions. But when it comes to facts.. . well they are not often forthcoming.


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PostPosted: 24 Dec 2004, 11:39 
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Woa there Chief...

Don't throw your moody anecdotes my way. The A-12 statement was a fact, read your GAO literature and you would see that. The USN spent billions on a weapons system that never went beyond the mock up stage (if it even got that far) The "HAS" is the ripple effect this debacle created, and the residual fall out that paved the way for the F-18E/F procurement, which is in the "here and now", as is the situation that currently befits U.S. Naval Aviation.

All I ever see from you is long winded cut & pastes...You can purchase software to do that if you like...

The F-14 is my opinion, I could give two shits whether or not you agree with me on that or not...


Here are some "facts" after doing a simple Google search on the A-12.

The 2 Billion dollar cost overun catches my eye, as does the fact that this program consumed up to 70% of the US Navy's aircraft budget. A SNAFU of that magnitude does not go without creating issues down the road. Of course I am just your average Joe Taxpayer, so what do I know....But there are your "facts" Chief.

Again: Happy Holidays Everyone!

courtesey of www.fas.org

Plans for the Navy's A-12 combat aircraft called for incorporating more advanced stealthy characteristics than were used in the F-117A, as well as significantly greater payload capabilities. The Navy's A-12 Avenger Advanced Technology Aircraft (ATA) was slated to replace current A-6s on aircraft carriers in the mid-1990's.

But on 7 January 1991, Secretary of Defense Richard Cheney canceled the program, in the largest contract termination in DoD history. By one estimate the A-12 had become so expensive that it would have consumed up 70 percent of the Navy's aircraft budget within three years.

The Navy originally planned to buy 620 of the McDonnell Douglas/General Dynamics aircraft, with the Marine Corps purchasing an additional 238 planes. And the Air Force at one point considered buying 400, at an average cost that was estimated at close to $100 million each. The A-12 was designed to fly faster and further than the A-6E, and carry a large bomb-load in internal bomb-bays to reduce drag and maintain a low radar cross-section. As with the Advanced Tactial Fighter (ATF), the A-12 was expected to have greater reliability than current aircraft (double that of the A-6E), and require half the maintenance manhours.

At first blush, the A-12's performance capabilities would have been in roughly the same class as existing aircraft. The key improvement over existing aircraft, not inherently obvious when comparing specifications, was stealth. While today's radar can detect existing naval aircraft at a range of 50 miles, the A-12 was designed to remain undetected until approximately 10 miles away. This would result in significant operational and survival benefits for the A-12 since defenders would have little opportunity to engage the aircraft once detected so close to the target. The A-12's reduced radar cross section would have been derived, in part, from carrying its ordnance internally. While the top speed of the more visible F/A- 18 and A-6 would be significantly reduced by the drag induced by external weapons carriage, the internal weapons bay on the A-12 would provide no impediment to speed.

The A-12 proved to be the most troubled of the new American stealth aircraft in large part because of problems found in the extensive use of composites in its structure. These composites did not result in anticipated weight savings, and some structural elements had to be replaced with heavier metal components. The weight of each aircraft exceeded 30 tons, 30% over design specification, and close to the limits that could be accommodated on aircraft carriers. The program also experienced problems with its complex Inverse Synthetic Aperture Radar system, as well as delays in its advanced avionics components.

The full scope of these problems were not appreciated at the time of Defense Secretary Cheney's Major Aircraft Review, which slowed the production rate and dropped 238 Marine Corps aircraft, leaving the original total Navy buy of 620 aircraft. Cheney also decided to delay for over 5 years the Air Force buy (from 1992 to 1998), which was decoupled from the Navy project. Subsequently, the A-12 contractors revealed that the project faced serious engineering problems and a $2 billion cost overrun, which would delay the first flight by over a year, to the fall of 1991, and raised the unit cost substantially.

According to the 1990 administrative inquiry conducted for the Secretary of the Navy, the cost performance data from the A-12 contractors clearly indicated significant cost and schedule problems. The results of an oversight review of the cost performance reports disclosed that the A-12 contract would probably exceed its ceiling by $1 billion. However, neither the contractors nor the Navy program manager relied upon this data; instead, they used overly optimistic recovery plans and schedule assumptions. The inquiry concluded that the government and contractor program managers lacked the objectivity to assess the situation and they disregarded financial analysts who surfaced the problems.

The U.S. Navy on January 7, 1991, notified McDonnell Douglas and General Dynamics Corporation (the Team) that it was terminating for default the Team's contract for development and initial production of the A-12 aircraft, and demanded repayment of the amounts paid to the Team under such contracts. The Department of Defense terminated the contract after the contractors failed to deliver a single airplane after receiving more than $2 billion in payments. Instead, the contractors refused to continue with the contract unless they received extraordinary relief in the form of relaxed terms and extra funds. At the same time, they would or could not assure delivery of an aircraft by a time certain, specify the aircraft's performance capabilities, or commit to a specific price for the aircraft. The Team filed a legal action to contest the Navy's default termination, to assert its rights to convert the termination to one for "the convenience of the Government," and to obtain payment for work done and costs incurred on the A-12 contract but not paid to date.

On December 19, 1995, the U.S. Court of Federal Claims ordered that the Government's termination of the A-12 contract for default be converted to a termination for convenience of the Government. On December 13, 1996, the Court issued an opinion confirming its prior no-loss adjustment and no-profit recovery order. In an early 1997 stipulation, the parties agreed that, based on the prior orders and findings of the court, plaintiffs were entitled to recover $1.071 billion. Furthermore, on January 22, 1997, the court issued an opinion in which it ruled that plaintiffs are entitled to recover interest on that amount.

The government appealed the United States Court of Federal Claims ruling in of 20 February that awarded $1.2 billion to Boeing and General Dynamics. The Department of Defense argued that the court incorrectly ruled in favor of the contractors and that the award provides unwarranted relief from a failure to produce the aircraft for which the contractors werefully responsible. The Federal Claims Court decision was fully expected based upon earlier rulings by the trial judge; the government has made clear its belief that those earlier rulings were fundamentally flawed. A US Appeals Court overturned the award to Boeing and General Dynamics in July 1999, ruling that trial judge used the wrong legal test before issuing the damgage awards. The trial judge reversed himself in September 2001, ruling that the government was justified in cancelling the A-12 program. The issue remains unsettled, interrupting the Navy's FY 2003 procurement agenda because lawmakers want the case settled before awarding an $810 million contract fora third DDG-51 destroyer to Bath Iron Works (BIW), a subsidiary of Boeing.

Also see:


The A-12 Legacy Herbert L. Fenster US Naval Institute Proceedings February 1999 -- The A-12 never amounted to more than a mockup, but the consequences of this unfortunate program are going to affect the size and composition of Naval Aviation for years to come

A very good read I might add...





Edited by - chadrewsky on Dec 24 2004 11:03 AM


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PostPosted: 24 Dec 2004, 15:16 
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Ah, the flying doritio. The aircraft that stuck us with a permanent interim fighter.

"The worst football halftime show is still better than a soccer game." - Ron "Tater Salad" White.


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PostPosted: 24 Dec 2004, 15:42 
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Here's my view on the Raptor. The F/A-22A is a relic of the cold war. It has very few uses in the modern Air Force. Does that mean cancel the program? Hell no. We need a more multi-role F/A-22C. Internally the Alpha Raptors are only able to carry only the GBU-32 1000lbs bomb because the it was designed with only 144 inch AMRAAM in mind. Lengthening the bay an entire five inches would enable the F/A-22 to carry the GBU-31(V)3/b 2000lbs bomb. Further changes would include a new landing gear system in order to raise the aircraft just enough to carry external air to ground weapons. Engines would be changed to the cheaper but less stealthy F-135/6. The electronics package would include DAIRS and EOTS from the JSF. What about the A's? Just enough would be bought to replace the 90 operational F-15As operated by the Air National Guard plus spares.

"The worst football halftime show is still better than a soccer game." - Ron "Tater Salad" White.


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PostPosted: 24 Dec 2004, 16:34 
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Once again you fail.

The long winded cut and pastes were requested by Sniper but worse than thatt if you have read any of my posts you would see your conclusion holds no water.

Youve made extremely false statements and disparaged my integrity. But of course thats OK. Because your part of the USN bashing clique.

Not that there arent things to be critical of. As I have been also. But some of you guys go over the top. Leaving me no choice but to defend events I would prefer not to.

The F-14 and BBs are gone and will remain so get over it.

And the Raptor is an extraordinarily expensive aircraft.

If you want to mitigate thatt by saying look at the technology transfer then you have to do the same for the Superbug.

Which if the Raptor then comes out at 60 million makes the Superbug come in at 5 million.

PACKERS WIN!!!!! PACKERS WIN!!!!! LOL

Merry Christmas!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


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PostPosted: 24 Dec 2004, 19:08 
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Where did I bash your character Rick?

As far as the USN is concerned I served in the Ready Reserve, I love the US Navy and all she stands for, but...I also have concerns about the future of what it is being shaped as.

We can agree to disagree if you like, there are two sides to this argument, only down the road when we can look at this as past tense will we know what school of thought was correct...

Merry Christmas...


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PostPosted: 25 Dec 2004, 15:55 
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While I agree the A-12 was a boondoggle. And was rightly cancled.

These two statements which you base your whole argument on dont tell me much.


"The 2 Billion dollar cost overun catches my eye, as does the fact that this program consumed up to 70% of the US Navy's aircraft budget."

Thats a drop in the bucket compared to F-22 cost overruns.

"By one estimate the A-12 had become so expensive that it would have consumed up 70 percent of the Navy's aircraft budget within three years."

This statement was an estimate that may or may not have come about. And in any event doesnt define or compare expenditures. Useless to me.

It wasnt long ago the Raptor was considered in the same boat as the A-12 and still may canceled out-right and its truncation continues even w/o cancellation per se.

This statement is unreal:

"The "HAS" is the ripple effect this debacle created, and the residual fall out that paved the way for the F-18E/F procurement"

What "paved the way for the F/A 18E/F" was Cheneys refusal to allow the USN to procure any F-14s of any version even though that aircraft was included in three successive budgets by the CNO.


And this statement is way out of line. Not to mention totally false.

"All I ever see from you is long winded cut & pastes..."

And I assure you that you dont need to buy any program to do it. Talk about a waste of money. LOL

And what does this mean?:

"Don't throw your moody anecdotes my way."


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PostPosted: 25 Dec 2004, 22:02 
Oh for christs sakes its xmas guys, give it a rest. ;)

Besides, you're both standing under mistletoe...

Hehehe.

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PostPosted: 26 Dec 2004, 08:36 
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common snipe even in the navy it is dont ask dont tell. lol

Let kill the enemy in then new year, instead of the fratricide as of late.<img src=icon_smile_wink.gif border=0 align=middle>


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PostPosted: 03 Jan 2005, 06:56 
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Something is wrong with these statements. I don't know the original source of them, but they contradict my own information.

<BLOCKQUOTE id=quote><font size=1 face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" id=quote>quote:<hr height=1 noshade id=quote>At first blush, the A-12's performance capabilities would have been in roughly the same class as existing aircraft. The key improvement over existing aircraft, not inherently obvious when comparing specifications, was stealth. While today's radar can detect existing naval aircraft at a range of 50 miles, the A-12 was designed to remain undetected until approximately 10 miles away. This would result in significant operational and survival benefits for the A-12 since defenders would have little opportunity to engage the aircraft once detected so close to the target. The A-12's reduced radar cross section would have been derived, in part, from carrying its ordnance internally. While the top speed of the more visible F/A- 18 and A-6 would be significantly reduced by the drag induced by external weapons carriage, the internal weapons bay on the A-12 would provide no impediment to speed.

The A-12 proved to be the most troubled of the new American stealth aircraft in large part because of problems found in the extensive use of composites in its structure. These composites did not result in anticipated weight savings, and some structural elements had to be replaced with heavier metal components. The weight of each aircraft exceeded 30 tons, 30% over design specification, and close to the limits that could be accommodated on aircraft carriers. The program also experienced problems with its complex Inverse Synthetic Aperture Radar system, as well as delays in its advanced avionics components. <hr height=1 noshade id=quote></BLOCKQUOTE id=quote></font id=quote><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" size=2 id=quote>

The A-12 would have had twice the range/payload of the A-6 and twice the "bringback" weight. I call that much better performance capability for a bomb truck. I wouldn't put much stock in that radar range stuff as it is probably in on the pessimistic side (roughly a factor of 25 on the target size or a 14db reduction). It is speculation on the part of the author. I think it is safe to say it was as good as the Northrop/Grumman competitor "on the pole". An obvious flying wing handicap was not mentioned. Internal weapons carriage or no, a flying wing with any internal volume is going to have a high thickness to chord ratio. The transonic drag wall that the high t/c produces will limit its top speed to about what an external store aircraft can do.

As far as the weights go, yes there were many manufacturing problems that may have forced a return to metal parts, and the weight growth was out of control at that time too (the overweight was probably closer to 10% of the proposed empty weight) but that quoted weight of 30 tons exceeding design specification does not make sense. It is way too big for an empty weight and way too small for a gross weight. Yes, it was close to the limits of aircraft carrier equipment at the time, e.g. elevators, catapults, arresting gear. An adjustment in the bringback weight and launch fuel load would have put it back in the box, but its performance did not look as attractive against the A-6 then (it still would have beat it handily though). Add on the electronics (and other) technical problems, a relentless demand for a peace dividend, the fighter mafia pushing the F-18E, a need to fund GW1 and there you have it, RIP A-12.

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PostPosted: 03 Jan 2005, 10:29 
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Stress...

The literature was found on fas.org

From what I understand, they can be iffy on the facts, I just thought it was a good place to start...

I really don't care much about the F-14 v. F-18E/F argument anymore, its done and pointless...F-22 will offer air domiance for the next quarter century at the minimum, with that it is a bargain regardless of its sticker price.


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PostPosted: 04 Jan 2005, 07:39 
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<BLOCKQUOTE id=quote><font size=1 face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" id=quote>quote:<hr height=1 noshade id=quote>

The literature was found on fas.org

<hr height=1 noshade id=quote></BLOCKQUOTE id=quote></font id=quote><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica" size=2 id=quote>

I meant where did fas.org get their data? Here is something to ponder. The F-35B is in at least as much technical and financial trouble as the A-12 was, and yet there is no clamor for cancellation, or even a closer look at what you get for the money. Every time the F-22 has been reviewed, the aircraft's current and potential performance speaks for itself. Now that the F-35 is threatening my own program, I am willing to say it is not worth it. By the time the bugs are worked out, each F-35B will cost as much as the F-22 and it will have no more utility than an F-16. If you want to keep costs in line, build the F-35C for all services. I smell a rat.

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PostPosted: 04 Jan 2005, 10:44 
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Joined: 28 Feb 2003, 00:18
Posts: 1157
The F-35C is probably the single most important aspect of the JSF program, and perhaps the only viable reason for its survival. I am not sure the USAF would want to eat a saltwater jet, but from what I have read the F-35C is performing well...

Not sure where fas.org gets their gouge...

I will state the obvious and speculate the USSR held on for a few more years, the A-12 would have been procured, cost overuns notwithstanding...


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